ATUC –6-2-2023
Economy:
· Factoring in inflation, real spending increased 0.5% in April when it had been unchanged in March.
· The income and spending data indicate that the consumer is alive and well.
· Inflation is still a factor that could lead to further Fed rate increases.
· The concerning trend here is personal savings.
New:
· Day supply is at 53 days and still 50% above last year.
· Sales were up 30K over last week and running 15% above last year.
· That is continuing to push the average listing Price is $47,462, up 40 and now up 5% over last year.
Used Cars:
· Used day supply is 44 days and is still 5% below last year.
· Sales were up to 32,000 over last week, still 3% below last year.
· With that supply and demand, the listing price is staying strong at $27,183, up $73 over last week but 4% from last year.
Wholesale:
Wholesale vehicle depreciation accelerated again this week. The 3-year-old index depreciated by 0.6% to 103.5%. That’s 1.5% down in 3 weeks.
· Lane Efficiency dropped again and is now hovering around 60%. That means 60% are selling the first run and 40% are not. At the height of the pandemic were ere at 80%.
· The retail margin spread trend shows the sales price for 3year old models on average dropped by $74 but the wholesale price dropped by $193. That indicates margin stability in the short run.
Summary:
Consumers are earning and spending. There are many opportunities ahead for growth and one example of that is the continued sales of used inventory up 38K a few weeks back and up over 32K this week. The acquisition is the key to retail and look-to-book will not tell the whole story. The call today around being creative in finding and appraising inventory will allow for margins that blend inventory demand schedules to have a strong 30-day sales rate.
The Automoive Advisor Team.
info@theautomotiveadvisorteam.com